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Incrementality Measurement

Measure true incremental impact with geo lift.

Run scientifically rigorous geo lift studies that isolate causality — without long holdout windows, wasted spend, or the need to pause entire campaigns.

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Platform attribution lies. It counts conversions that would have happened anyway. Adrsta's Geo Lift Agent builds a mathematically rigorous counterfactual — what would have happened without your campaign — so you can measure true incremental impact with statistical confidence.

Capabilities

What Geo Lift Agent can do.

Geo Lift Studies

Design and run geo-randomized experiments with test and control markets. Measure incrementality at the DMA, city, or national level.

Matched Control Markets

Our algorithm constructs weighted synthetic markets that match your test region pre-treatment — giving you a precise counterfactual, not a noisy holdout.

Confidence-Based Decisions

Every result comes with a confidence interval and p-value. Know not just the lift estimate, but how much you can trust it before reallocating budget.

Multi-Market Analysis

Run concurrent experiments across multiple markets or channels. Compare results, identify regional variance, and build an always-growing evidence base.

How it works

Three steps to sharper decisions.

01

Design your study

Select test markets and let the algorithm identify the best control-market match. Set your exposure period, channel, and budget level.

02

Run the experiment

Execute your campaign in test markets at normal spend levels. The control baseline runs silently in the background — no holdout wasted budget.

03

Read the results

Get a precise incrementality estimate with confidence intervals. Understand true lift, ROAS uplift, and what the data says about future investment.

Live Platform

See it in action.

Incrementality Study — Q1 2025
Live

Incremental Lift

+18.4%

↑ vs synthetic

Confidence

94%

Statistical sig.

iROAS

3.2×

True incrementality

Test vs. Control

Paid Social
+18%
Paid Search
+14%
Display
+7%
Video
+4%

Results

What teams achieve with Geo Lift Agent.

18%

Average incremental lift measured

94%

Statistical confidence on average

3×

Reduction in misattributed conversions

40%

Less budget required vs. matched market tests

Also explore

Related products.

MMM Agent

Use geo lift results to validate and calibrate MMM models.

Bid Optimizer Agent

Combine incrementality insights with real-time bid optimization.

Client Results

Geo Lift Agent in practice.

Real results from teams who have used Geo Lift Agent to make faster, more confident decisions.

How it worked — PepsiCo × GIPHY

01

42 PepsiCo retail locations ingested with 105 weeks of sales history

02

Treatment vs holdout markets identified via time-series clustering

03

Geo lift algorithm predicted what sales would have been without the campaign

04

4.1% incremental lift confirmed across test markets at >60% confidence

Completed studies

Geo LiftCPG

PepsiCo × GIPHY

GIPHY used Adrsta's Geo Lift to measure sales lift for PepsiCo's MUG Root Beer brand across 42 locations over 105 weeks. Adrsta's ASC algorithm showed how GIPHY's buy drove overall sales lift and how their Takeover product specifically drove fast sales results.

4.1%

Sales lift

average across test markets, confidence >60%

66%

Of placements drove lift

within 1–3 days of Takeover

Geo LiftTelecom

Fortune 100 Telecom Provider × Proxim

Adrsta's Geo Lift helped Fortune 100 Telecom Provider measure incremental video take rate and optimize customer re-engagement campaigns — without expensive holdouts or complicated setup.

+10%

Video take rate lift

across test markets

85%

Reduction in turnaround time

from campaign setup to results

Currently running

Mightier × Universal Ads

Health & Wellness — Children

6 markets · 7-week testResults to follow

Jope × Universal Ads

Pet Products

3 markets · 4-week testResults to follow

Restore Hyper Wellness × Universal Ads

Health & Wellness

6 markets · 8-week testResults to follow
See all case studies
Geo Lift Agent — Get Started

Ready to try Geo Lift Agent?

Book a demo and see how Adrsta can transform your measurement and planning workflows in weeks, not quarters.

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